Grimsby Town 3-1 Wrexham

Finished

For this National League match, BetFTW's top pick is Grimsby Town to win, with a 48% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 33%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Grimsby Town to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Med 25.9/100
    Odds 3.35 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +80.00
    Best odds 3.75 Bet365
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    33%
    Stake Low 8.6/100
    Odds 3.75 Bet365 Recorded P/L -8.64
    Best odds 3.75 Bet365
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    51%
    Stake Low 2.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -8.39
    Best odds 2.15 TonyBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Grimsby Town to win 48.0% 3.75 26.7% +21.3 pp
Draw 33.0% 3.75 26.7% +6.3 pp
Total score under 2.5 51.0% 2.15 46.5% +4.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Grimsby Town

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Torquay United Away 3-1 W
4 Sep 2021 Barnet Home 4-3 W
31 Aug 2021 Stockport County Away 0-0 D
28 Aug 2021 Weymouth Home 1-0 W
3 Aug 2021 Alfreton Town Away 1-0 W

Wrexham

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Woking Home 1-0 W
4 Sep 2021 Southend United Away 2-2 D
30 Aug 2021 Notts County Home 1-1 D
28 Aug 2021 Eastleigh Away 2-0 W
21 Aug 2021 Solihull Moors Away 2-2 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Grimsby Town 10 1.40 1.20
Wrexham 10 1.70 1.10