Nagoya Grampus 4-2 Daegu

Finished

For this AFC Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is Nagoya Grampus to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 52%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Nagoya Grampus to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 45.6/100
    Odds 1.85 Bet3000 Recorded P/L +44.00
    Best odds 1.92 NEO.bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 22.0/100
    Odds 2.60 Bet3000 Recorded P/L +37.80
    Best odds 2.65 Bwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Nagoya Grampus to win 75.0% 1.92 52.1% +22.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 52.0% 2.65 37.7% +14.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Nagoya Grampus

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Sep 2021 Tokushima Vortis Home 3-0 W
5 Sep 2021 Kashima Antlers Away 2-0 W
1 Sep 2021 Kashima Antlers Home 2-0 W
29 Aug 2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Home 1-1 D
25 Aug 2021 Consadole Sapporo Away 2-0 W

Daegu

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Sep 2021 Pohang Steelers Away 2-1 W
25 Aug 2021 Incheon United Away 0-2 L
20 Aug 2021 Gwangju Home 1-2 L
4 Aug 2021 Ulsan Hyundai Away 1-2 L
1 Aug 2021 Pohang Steelers Home 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Nagoya Grampus 10 1.40 0.60
Daegu 10 1.60 1.20