Southend United 2-3 Aldershot Town

Finished

For this National League match, BetFTW's top pick is Southend United to win, with a 73% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Southend United to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake Med 47.3/100
    Odds 2.05 Bwin Recorded P/L -48.45
    Best odds 2.10 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 2.00 1xBet Recorded P/L +10.00
    Best odds 2.00 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Southend United to win 73.0% 2.10 47.6% +25.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 55.0% 2.00 50.0% +5.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Southend United

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Halifax Town Away 1-3 L
4 Sep 2021 Wrexham Home 2-2 D
30 Aug 2021 Wealdstone Away 0-0 D
28 Aug 2021 Stockport County Home 0-1 L
7 Aug 2021 Ebbsfleet United Away 1-1 D

Aldershot Town

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Solihull Moors Home 1-2 L
4 Sep 2021 Notts County Away 2-3 L
30 Aug 2021 Yeovil Town Home 1-2 L
28 Aug 2021 Boreham Wood Away 0-1 L
21 Aug 2021 Chesterfield Home 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Southend United 10 0.90 1.00
Aldershot Town 10 1.10 2.10