Villarreal 2-2 Atalanta

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is under 2.5 goals, with a 47% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 53%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    47%
    Stake Low 9.1/100
    Odds 2.40 Noxwin Recorded P/L -9.14
    Best odds 2.40 Noxwin
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    53%
    Stake Low 3.5/100
    Odds 1.95 bet90 Recorded P/L +16.94
    Best odds 2.21 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 2.5 47.0% 2.40 41.7% +5.3 pp
Total score over 2.5 53.0% 2.21 45.2% +7.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Villarreal

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Aug 2021 Atletico Madrid Away 2-2 D
21 Aug 2021 Espanyol Away 0-0 D
16 Aug 2021 Granada Home 0-0 D
11 Aug 2021 Chelsea Away 1-1 D
4 Aug 2021 Leicester City Away 2-3 L

Atalanta

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Fiorentina Home 1-2 L
28 Aug 2021 Bologna Home 0-0 D
21 Aug 2021 Torino Away 2-1 W
14 Aug 2021 Juventus Away 1-3 L
31 Jul 2021 Pordenone Calcio Home 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Villarreal 10 1.40 1.40
Atalanta 10 1.70 1.50