FK Septemvri Sofia 7-0 Septemvri Simitli

Finished

For this PFL 2 match, BetFTW's top pick is under 2.5 goals, with a 48% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 24%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 8.6/100
    Odds 2.32 1xBet Recorded P/L -10.86
    Best odds 2.40 10bet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    24%
    Stake Low 7.7/100
    Odds 5.65 1xBet Recorded P/L -8.80
    Best odds 6.00 10bet
  3. Pick 3 Septemvri Simitli to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    16%
    Stake Low 7.6/100
    Odds 11.00 Ladbrokes Recorded P/L -7.60
    Best odds 11.00 Ladbrokes
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 2.5 48.0% 2.40 41.7% +6.3 pp
Draw 24.0% 6.00 16.7% +7.3 pp
Septemvri Simitli to win 16.0% 11.00 9.1% +6.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

FK Septemvri Sofia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Sep 2021 Sportist Svoge Away 1-0 W
18 Sep 2021 Hebar Pazardzhik Away 0-1 L
12 Sep 2021 Ludogorets Razgrad II Home 3-2 W
29 Aug 2021 Levski Lom Away 2-0 W
13 Aug 2021 Maritsa Home 1-2 L

Septemvri Simitli

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Sep 2021 FK Strumska Slava Home 1-3 L
12 Sep 2021 Neftochimic Burgas Away 2-2 D
28 Aug 2021 Montana Home 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
FK Septemvri Sofia 10 1.90 1.10