Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Hamburg HSV

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburg HSV, with a 74% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 30.7/100
    Odds 1.60 bet90 Recorded P/L -53.88
    Best odds 1.64 bet90
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 74.0% 1.64 61.0% +13.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Erzgebirge Aue

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Sep 2021 Jahn Regensburg Away 2-3 L
19 Sep 2021 SC Paderborn 07 Home 1-4 L
12 Sep 2021 Fortuna Dusseldorf Home 0-1 L
28 Aug 2021 Holstein Kiel Away 0-3 L
22 Aug 2021 Sandhausen Home 1-3 L

Hamburg HSV

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Sep 2021 Nurnberg Home 2-2 D
18 Sep 2021 Werder Bremen Away 2-0 W
28 Aug 2021 Heidenheim Away 0-0 D
22 Aug 2021 SV Darmstadt 98 Home 2-2 D
13 Aug 2021 St. Pauli Away 2-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Erzgebirge Aue 10 0.70 1.90
Hamburg HSV 10 2.00 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Erzgebirge Aue and Hamburg HSV in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Feb 2021 2. Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburg HSV 3-3
21 Oct 2020 2. Bundesliga Hamburg HSV vs Erzgebirge Aue 3-0