NAC Breda 4-1 S.B.V. Excelsior

Finished

For this Eerste Divisie match, BetFTW's top pick is NAC Breda to win, with a 68% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 NAC Breda to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 43.9/100
    Odds 2.33 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +61.16
    Best odds 2.37 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Low 12.8/100
    Odds 1.58 bet90 Recorded P/L +8.12
    Best odds 1.59 Novibet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
NAC Breda to win 68.0% 2.37 42.2% +25.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 68.0% 1.59 62.9% +5.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

NAC Breda

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Sep 2021 FC Eindhoven Away 0-2 L
17 Sep 2021 Emmen Home 1-2 L
13 Sep 2021 Ajax Youth Away 3-6 L
10 Sep 2021 Roda JC Away 0-0 D
27 Aug 2021 ADO Den Haag Home 3-0 W

S.B.V. Excelsior

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Sep 2021 PSV Eindhoven Youth Home 3-0 W
17 Sep 2021 De Graafschap Away 1-3 L
10 Sep 2021 Dordrecht Home 3-1 W
3 Sep 2021 Den Bosch Away 5-0 W
27 Aug 2021 Ajax Youth Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
NAC Breda 10 1.30 1.80
S.B.V. Excelsior 10 1.80 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between NAC Breda and S.B.V. Excelsior in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
23 Apr 2021 Eerste Divisie NAC Breda vs S.B.V. Excelsior 1-2
3 Jan 2021 Eerste Divisie S.B.V. Excelsior vs NAC Breda 0-3