Alianza Lima 2-0 FBC Melgar

Finished

BetFTW predicts under 2.5 goals for Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar, with a 75% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 46.3/100
    Odds 1.87 Suprabets Recorded P/L +40.25
    Best odds 1.87 Suprabets
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 2.5 75.0% 1.87 53.5% +21.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alianza Lima

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Sep 2022 FC Carlos Stein Away 2-1 W
4 Sep 2022 Universitario de Deportes Home 0-2 L
28 Aug 2022 UTC Cajamarca Away 1-1 D
21 Aug 2022 Sport Huancayo Home 1-0 W
12 Mar 2022 FBC Melgar Away 0-1 L

FBC Melgar

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Sep 2022 Cienciano Away 2-2 D
12 Sep 2022 Deportivo Municipal Home 6-2 W
8 Sep 2022 Independiente del Valle Home 0-3 L
1 Sep 2022 Independiente del Valle Away 0-3 L
21 Aug 2022 FC Carlos Stein Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Alianza Lima 10 0.90 1.10
FBC Melgar 10 1.50 1.10

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alianza Lima and FBC Melgar in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
12 Mar 2022 Primera Division FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima 1-0