Crawley Town 1-1 Doncaster Rovers

Finished

For this League Two match, BetFTW's top pick is Doncaster Rovers to win, with a 39% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 53%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Doncaster Rovers to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    39%
    Stake Low 11.8/100
    Odds 3.24 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -11.77
    Best odds 3.24 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    53%
    Stake Low 10.3/100
    Odds 2.10 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -10.27
    Best odds 2.10 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Doncaster Rovers to win 39.0% 3.24 30.9% +8.1 pp
Total score over 2.5 53.0% 2.10 47.6% +5.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Crawley Town

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Mar 2023 AFC Wimbledon Away 1-0 W
11 Mar 2023 Harrogate Town Home 3-1 W
7 Mar 2023 Sutton United Away 0-3 L
4 Mar 2023 Northampton Away 0-1 L
28 Feb 2023 Tranmere Rovers Away 0-1 L

Doncaster Rovers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Mar 2023 Salford City Away 1-3 L
11 Mar 2023 AFC Wimbledon Home 2-1 W
7 Mar 2023 Harrogate Town Home 0-2 L
4 Mar 2023 Stockport County Away 0-0 D
25 Feb 2023 Bradford City Home 0-1 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Crawley Town 10 0.90 1.70
Doncaster Rovers 10 0.80 1.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Crawley Town and Doncaster Rovers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Sep 2022 League Two Doncaster Rovers vs Crawley Town 4-1