Peterhead 1-2 Ayr United

Finished

For this Scottish Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 27% estimated probability. We also predict Ayr United to win at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 5.5/100
    Odds 4.40 efbet Recorded P/L -6.14
    Best odds 4.50 efbet
  2. Pick 2 Ayr United to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 5.3/100
    Odds 1.70 efbet Recorded P/L +3.70
    Best odds 1.70 efbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 27.0% 4.50 22.2% +4.8 pp
Ayr United to win 61.0% 1.70 58.8% +2.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Peterhead

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Nov 2023 Spartans Away 2-1 W
14 Nov 2023 Stenhousemuir Away 0-2 L
14 Oct 2023 Dundee United Home 0-2 L
12 Aug 2023 Stenhousemuir Home 0-0 D
5 Aug 2023 East Fife Away 3-0 W

Ayr United

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2023 Partick Thistle Away 2-2 D
22 Sep 2023 Queen's Park Away 5-2 W
15 Sep 2023 Partick Thistle Home 0-4 L
5 Sep 2023 Falkirk Home 0-1 L
12 Aug 2023 Inverness CT Home 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Peterhead 10 0.80 1.60
Ayr United 10 1.90 1.40