Lille 3-4 Olympique Lyon

Finished

For this Ligue 1 match, BetFTW's top pick is Lille to win, with a 72% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lille to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 46.2/100
    Odds 2.08 1xBet Recorded P/L -46.55
    Best odds 2.10 efbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Low 9.3/100
    Odds 1.60 Betano Recorded P/L +20.08
    Best odds 1.82 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lille to win 72.0% 2.10 47.6% +24.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 66.0% 1.82 54.9% +11.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Lille

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Apr 2024 Metz Away 2-1 W
24 Apr 2024 AS Monaco Away 0-1 L
21 Apr 2024 Strasbourg Home 1-0 W
18 Apr 2024 Aston Villa Home 2-1 W
11 Apr 2024 Aston Villa Away 1-2 L

Olympique Lyon

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Apr 2024 AS Monaco Home 3-2 W
21 Apr 2024 Paris Saint-Germain Away 1-4 L
14 Apr 2024 Brest Home 4-3 W
7 Apr 2024 Nantes Away 3-1 W
2 Apr 2024 Valenciennes Home 3-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Lille 10 1.50 1.10
Olympique Lyon 10 2.00 1.70

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Lille and Olympique Lyon in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
7 Feb 2024 French Cup Olympique Lyon vs Lille 2-1
26 Nov 2023 Ligue 1 Olympique Lyon vs Lille 0-2
10 Mar 2023 Ligue 1 Lille vs Olympique Lyon 3-3
8 Feb 2023 French Cup Olympique Lyon vs Lille 2-2
30 Oct 2022 Ligue 1 Olympique Lyon vs Lille 1-0