S.B.V. Excelsior 0-3 NEC Nijmegen

Finished

For this Eredivisie match, BetFTW's top pick is NEC Nijmegen to win, with a 40% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 NEC Nijmegen to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 11.4/100
    Odds 3.10 Suprabets Recorded P/L +24.00
    Best odds 3.10 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 2.50 Suprabets Recorded P/L -11.16
    Best odds 2.55 Vave
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
NEC Nijmegen to win 40.0% 3.10 32.3% +7.7 pp
Total score under 2.5 46.0% 2.55 39.2% +6.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

S.B.V. Excelsior

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Apr 2024 Ajax Away 2-2 D
12 Apr 2024 Volendam Home 4-0 W
6 Apr 2024 PEC Zwolle Away 1-2 L
2 Apr 2024 PSV Eindhoven Home 0-2 L
30 Mar 2024 Go Ahead Eagles Away 0-3 L

NEC Nijmegen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Apr 2024 AZ Alkmaar Home 0-3 L
21 Apr 2024 Feyenoord Away 0-1 L
14 Apr 2024 PEC Zwolle Home 2-2 D
7 Apr 2024 Vitesse Away 3-0 W
2 Apr 2024 Fortuna Sittard Away 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
S.B.V. Excelsior 10 1.30 2.50
NEC Nijmegen 10 1.80 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between S.B.V. Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
13 Aug 2023 Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen vs S.B.V. Excelsior 3-4
19 Feb 2023 Eredivisie S.B.V. Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen 0-3
8 Oct 2022 Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen vs S.B.V. Excelsior 1-1
9 Apr 2021 Eerste Divisie S.B.V. Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen 2-1
8 Jan 2021 Eerste Divisie NEC Nijmegen vs S.B.V. Excelsior 3-2