Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Mainz 05

Finished

BetFTW predicts Borussia Dortmund to win against Mainz 05, with a 74% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Borussia Dortmund to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 35.2/100
    Odds 1.67 Interwetten Recorded P/L +24.32
    Best odds 1.68 Dafabet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Borussia Dortmund to win 74.0% 1.68 59.5% +14.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Borussia Dortmund

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Mar 2025 Leipzig Away 0-2 L
12 Mar 2025 Lille Away 2-1 W
8 Mar 2025 Augsburg Home 0-1 L
4 Mar 2025 Lille Home 1-1 D
1 Mar 2025 St. Pauli Away 2-0 W

Mainz 05

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Mar 2025 Freiburg Home 2-2 D
7 Mar 2025 B. Monchengladbach Away 3-1 W
1 Mar 2025 Leipzig Away 2-1 W
22 Feb 2025 St. Pauli Home 2-0 W
16 Feb 2025 Heidenheim Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Borussia Dortmund 10 1.50 0.90
Mainz 05 10 1.40 0.80

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05 in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
9 Nov 2024 Bundesliga Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund 3-1
11 May 2024 Bundesliga Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund 3-0
19 Dec 2023 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 1-1
27 May 2023 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 2-2
25 Jan 2023 Bundesliga Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund 1-2