Atlante 2-3 Atletico Morelia

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for Atlante vs Atletico Morelia, with a 66% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 31.3/100
    Odds 1.98 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +30.68
    Best odds 1.98 Vbet Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 66.0% 1.98 50.5% +15.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Atlante

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Apr 2025 Atletico Morelia Away 0-0 D
20 Apr 2025 Tampico Madero Away 1-1 D
4 Apr 2025 Correcaminos UAT Away 0-2 L
8 Mar 2025 Universidad de Guadalajara Home 2-1 W
2 Mar 2025 Dorados de Sinaloa Away 4-1 W

Atletico Morelia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Apr 2025 Atlante Home 0-0 D
20 Apr 2025 Tlaxcala FC Away 1-1 D
13 Apr 2025 Armadillos Cancun Home 2-1 W
6 Apr 2025 Mineros De Zacatecas Away 1-1 D
21 Mar 2025 Universidad de Guadalajara Away 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Atlante 10 1.50 0.90
Atletico Morelia 10 0.90 1.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Atlante and Atletico Morelia in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Apr 2025 Liga de Expansion MX Clasura Atletico Morelia vs Atlante 0-0
25 Jan 2025 Liga de Expansion MX Clasura Atletico Morelia vs Atlante 0-2
24 Mar 2024 Liga de Expansion MX Clasura Atlante vs Atletico Morelia 0-0
16 Oct 2023 Liga de Expansion MX Apertura Atletico Morelia vs Atlante 0-1
12 Aug 2022 Liga de Expansion MX Apertura Atlante vs Atletico Morelia 1-0