Universidad de Guadalajara 2-0 Atletico Morelia

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia, with a 72% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 37.0/100
    Odds 1.80 Dafabet Recorded P/L -37.00
    Best odds 1.80 Dafabet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 72.0% 1.80 55.6% +16.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Universidad de Guadalajara

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 May 2025 Atletico Morelia Away 0-2 L
19 Apr 2025 Venados Home 3-1 W
13 Apr 2025 Club Celaya Away 3-2 W
6 Apr 2025 Tampico Madero Home 1-2 L
21 Mar 2025 Atletico Morelia Home 2-1 W

Atletico Morelia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 May 2025 Universidad de Guadalajara Home 2-0 W
27 Apr 2025 Atlante Away 3-2 W
24 Apr 2025 Atlante Home 0-0 D
20 Apr 2025 Tlaxcala FC Away 1-1 D
13 Apr 2025 Armadillos Cancun Home 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Universidad de Guadalajara 10 1.80 1.40
Atletico Morelia 10 1.20 1.30

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Universidad de Guadalajara and Atletico Morelia in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
4 May 2025 Liga de Expansion MX Clasura Atletico Morelia vs Universidad de Guadalajara 2-0
21 Mar 2025 Liga de Expansion MX Clasura Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia 2-1
5 Apr 2024 Liga de Expansion MX Clasura Atletico Morelia vs Universidad de Guadalajara 0-2
19 Nov 2023 Liga de Expansion MX Apertura Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia 2-0
16 Nov 2023 Liga de Expansion MX Apertura Atletico Morelia vs Universidad de Guadalajara 2-1