Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente

Finished

For this Primeira Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 49% estimated probability. We also predict Moreirense to win at 37%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    49%
    Stake Low 12.6/100
    Odds 2.40 Novibet Recorded P/L -13.61
    Best odds 2.44 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Moreirense to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    37%
    Stake Low 11.8/100
    Odds 3.50 Betano Recorded P/L -12.77
    Best odds 3.60 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 49.0% 2.44 41.0% +8.0 pp
Moreirense to win 37.0% 3.60 27.8% +9.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Moreirense

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Vitoria Guimaraes Away 1-1 D
14 Sep 2026 Maritimo Home 3-1 W
9 Sep 2026 Benfica Home 0-4 L
4 Sep 2026 Porto Away 1-2 L
30 Aug 2026 Casa Pia AC Away 1-0 W

Gil Vicente

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Sep 2026 Benfica Away 1-3 L
6 Sep 2026 Academico de Viseu Home 0-1 L
30 Aug 2026 Famalicao Away 0-0 D
24 Aug 2026 Casa Pia AC Home 2-0 W
9 Aug 2026 Rio Ave Home 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Moreirense 10 1.00 1.70
Gil Vicente 10 1.30 1.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Moreirense and Gil Vicente in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
7 Feb 2026 Primeira Liga Moreirense vs Gil Vicente 1-2
29 Aug 2025 Primeira Liga Gil Vicente vs Moreirense 2-0
12 Jan 2025 Portugal Cup Gil Vicente vs Moreirense 1-0
11 Dec 2023 Primeira Liga Gil Vicente vs Moreirense 1-1
26 Nov 2021 Primeira Liga Moreirense vs Gil Vicente 2-2