Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen

Finished

For this Eredivisie match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 20% estimated probability. We also predict Ajax to win at 75%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    20%
    Stake Low 5.7/100
    Odds 6.60 TonyBet Recorded P/L +31.98
    Best odds 6.60 TonyBet
  2. Pick 2 Ajax to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Low 3.6/100
    Odds 1.35 Bet9ja Recorded P/L -7.43
    Best odds 1.37 Novibet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 20.0% 6.60 15.2% +4.8 pp
Ajax to win 75.0% 1.37 73.0% +2.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ajax

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Sep 2026 S.B.V. Excelsior Home 2-2 D
15 Sep 2026 Willem II Home 5-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Fortuna Sittard Away 5-1 W
5 Sep 2026 PSV Eindhoven Home 1-3 L
30 Aug 2026 SC Telstar Away 4-0 W

NEC Nijmegen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Go Ahead Eagles Home 1-1 D
17 Sep 2026 Juventus Away 0-5 L
12 Sep 2026 SC Cambuur Away 0-3 L
8 Sep 2026 S.B.V. Excelsior Home 2-2 D
5 Sep 2026 Feyenoord Home 1-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Ajax 10 3.20 1.60
NEC Nijmegen 10 1.40 2.30

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
21 Feb 2026 Eredivisie Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen 1-1
20 Dec 2025 Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax 2-2
1 Dec 2024 Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax 1-2
18 Feb 2024 Eredivisie Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen 2-2
3 Dec 2023 Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax 1-2