Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid, with a 60% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Low 18.3/100
    Odds 1.96 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +17.60
    Best odds 1.96 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 60.0% 1.96 51.0% +9.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alaves

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Sep 2026 Athletic Bilbao Away 0-0 D
15 Sep 2026 Valencia Home 0-1 L
12 Sep 2026 Racing Santander Away 1-2 L
6 Sep 2026 Osasuna Home 5-2 W
28 Aug 2026 Villarreal Home 1-0 W

Atletico Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Real Madrid Home 2-1 W
16 Sep 2026 Osasuna Home 4-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Real Sociedad Away 3-0 W
9 Sep 2026 Liverpool Away 1-2 L
5 Sep 2026 Athletic Bilbao Away 0-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Alaves 10 1.60 0.70
Atletico Madrid 10 2.00 1.30

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alaves and Atletico Madrid in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
18 Jan 2026 La Liga Atletico Madrid vs Alaves 1-0