Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Aston Villa to win, with a 56% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 65%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Aston Villa to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    56%
    Stake Med 32.2/100
    Odds 2.85 1xBet Recorded P/L -32.18
    Best odds 2.85 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    65%
    Stake Low 16.2/100
    Odds 1.72 1xBet Recorded P/L +14.82
    Best odds 1.77 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Aston Villa to win 56.0% 2.85 35.1% +20.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 65.0% 1.77 56.5% +8.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Aston Villa

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Oct 2026 Sevilla Away 3-1 W
19 Sep 2026 Tottenham Away 3-2 W
16 Sep 2026 Coventry City Away 3-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Nottingham Forest Home 1-2 L
8 Sep 2026 Club Brugge Away 3-2 W

Brentford

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Sep 2026 Chelsea Home 3-0 W
15 Sep 2026 Reading Away 2-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Bournemouth Away 2-2 D
5 Sep 2026 Sunderland Home 1-1 D
30 Aug 2026 Leeds Away 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Aston Villa 10 1.50 1.70
Brentford 10 2.10 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Aston Villa and Brentford in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 Feb 2026 Premier League Aston Villa vs Brentford 0-1
16 Sep 2025 League Cup Brentford vs Aston Villa 1-1
23 Aug 2025 Premier League Brentford vs Aston Villa 1-0
4 Dec 2024 Premier League Aston Villa vs Brentford 3-1
6 Apr 2024 Premier League Aston Villa vs Brentford 3-3