Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Chelsea to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Chelsea to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 47.2/100
    Odds 1.90 bet-at-home Recorded P/L +42.50
    Best odds 1.90 bet-at-home
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Low 19.0/100
    Odds 1.65 1xBet Recorded P/L +12.35
    Best odds 1.65 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Chelsea to win 75.0% 1.90 52.6% +22.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 68.0% 1.65 60.6% +7.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Chelsea

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Sep 2026 Brentford Away 0-3 L
12 Sep 2026 Hull City Home 2-2 D
6 Sep 2026 Arsenal Away 1-2 L
30 Aug 2026 Brighton Home 4-3 W
27 Aug 2026 Luton Town Home 2-0 W

Bournemouth

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Liverpool Home 0-1 L
17 Sep 2026 Real Sociedad Away 2-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Brentford Home 2-2 D
8 Sep 2026 Lincoln City Home 4-0 W
5 Sep 2026 Newcastle Away 2-2 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Chelsea 10 2.20 2.20
Bournemouth 10 2.20 1.30

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Chelsea and Bournemouth in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
30 Dec 2025 Premier League Chelsea vs Bournemouth 2-2
6 Dec 2025 Premier League Bournemouth vs Chelsea 0-0
14 Sep 2024 Premier League Bournemouth vs Chelsea 0-1
19 May 2024 Premier League Chelsea vs Bournemouth 2-1
17 Sep 2023 Premier League Bournemouth vs Chelsea 0-0