Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburg
Finished
Bet For The Win
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Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.Estimated probability75%Stake Low 15.5/100Odds 1.42 Novibet Recorded P/L +6.50Best odds 1.42 Novibet
Estimated probability vs. the odds
The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.
| Pick | Estimated probability | Best recorded odds | Implied probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total score over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.42 | 70.4% | +4.6 pp |
Recent form
The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.
Hoffenheim
| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 | Away | 1-3 | L |
| 17 Sep 2026 | OFI Crete | Away | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Stuttgart | Home | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | Home | 2-3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | FC Cologne | Away | 2-3 | L |
Hamburg
| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Copenhagen | Home | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | FC Cologne | Home | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | RB Leipzig | Away | 0-5 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Mainz | Home | 0-5 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | Away | 0-2 | L |
Scoring averages
Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.
| Team | Matches | Goals scored | Goals conceded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | 10 | 1.80 | 1.70 |
| Hamburg | 10 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
Head-to-head
Previous meetings between Hoffenheim and Hamburg in BetFTW's records.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Bundesliga | Hamburg vs Hoffenheim | 1-2 |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bundesliga | Hoffenheim vs Hamburg | 4-1 |