Lorient 1-0 Paris FC

Finished

For this Ligue 1 match, BetFTW's top pick is Lorient to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lorient to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake High 65.8/100
    Odds 3.73 N1Bet Recorded P/L +181.25
    Best odds 3.75 N1Bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 23.3/100
    Odds 2.03 1xBet Recorded P/L -23.28
    Best odds 2.03 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lorient to win 75.0% 3.75 26.7% +48.3 pp
Total score over 2.5 61.0% 2.03 49.3% +11.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Lorient

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Sep 2026 Le Mans Away 1-2 L
12 Sep 2026 Toulouse Home 2-2 D
5 Sep 2026 Lens Away 1-0 W
29 Aug 2026 Troyes Home 1-2 L
22 Aug 2026 Nice Away 0-0 D

Paris FC

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Sep 2026 Strasbourg Home 2-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Lyon Home 0-0 D
6 Sep 2026 Marseille Away 3-2 W
30 Aug 2026 Nice Home 3-0 W
22 Aug 2026 Troyes Away 0-0 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Lorient 10 1.40 1.10
Paris FC 10 1.70 0.90

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Lorient and Paris FC in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Apr 2026 Ligue 1 Lorient vs Paris FC 1-1
3 Oct 2025 Ligue 1 Paris FC vs Lorient 2-0
8 Mar 2025 Ligue 2 Paris FC vs Lorient 3-2
9 Feb 2021 French Cup Lorient vs Paris FC 2-1