Mainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
Finished
Bet For The Win
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Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.Estimated probability75%Stake Med 30.4/100Odds 1.56 Goldenbet Recorded P/L +17.00Best odds 1.56 Goldenbet
Estimated probability vs. the odds
The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.
| Pick | Estimated probability | Best recorded odds | Implied probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total score over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.56 | 64.1% | +10.9 pp |
Recent form
The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.
Mainz
| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Borussia Monchengladbach | Away | 4-3 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Home | 1-3 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Hamburg | Away | 5-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 | Home | 0-0 | D |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Al Ahli Dubai | Home | 1-0 | W |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | Opponent | Home/Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | RB Leipzig | Home | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | NK Celje | Home | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Augsburg | Away | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Union Berlin | Home | 4-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | SV Elversberg | Away | 2-3 | L |
Scoring averages
Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.
| Team | Matches | Goals scored | Goals conceded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 10 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 10 | 2.70 | 0.80 |
Head-to-head
Previous meetings between Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen in BetFTW's records.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz | 1-1 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bundesliga | Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3-4 |