Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for Real Madrid vs Villarreal, with a 81% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake Low 23.4/100
    Odds 1.33 Betano Recorded P/L -23.42
    Best odds 1.33 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 81.0% 1.33 75.2% +5.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Real Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Atletico Madrid Away 1-2 L
15 Sep 2026 Elche Away 3-2 W
12 Sep 2026 Rayo Vallecano Home 4-1 W
8 Sep 2026 Inter Milan Home 2-1 W
4 Sep 2026 Real Betis Away 0-1 L

Villarreal

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Levante Home 3-1 W
17 Sep 2026 Malaga Away 3-1 W
14 Sep 2026 Real Betis Home 1-2 L
8 Sep 2026 Borussia Dortmund Away 2-3 L
5 Sep 2026 Deportivo La Coruna Home 2-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Real Madrid 10 2.40 0.90
Villarreal 10 1.90 1.60

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Real Madrid and Villarreal in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Jan 2026 La Liga Villarreal vs Real Madrid 0-2
4 Oct 2025 La Liga Real Madrid vs Villarreal 3-1
15 Mar 2025 La Liga Villarreal vs Real Madrid 1-2
5 Oct 2024 La Liga Real Madrid vs Villarreal 2-0
19 May 2024 La Liga Villarreal vs Real Madrid 4-4