Sunderland 0-2 Brighton

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Sunderland to win, with a 37% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 56%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sunderland to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    37%
    Stake Low 7.8/100
    Odds 3.16 1xBet Recorded P/L -7.83
    Best odds 3.16 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    56%
    Stake Low 5.3/100
    Odds 1.87 1xBet Recorded P/L -5.25
    Best odds 1.87 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Sunderland to win 37.0% 3.16 31.6% +5.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 56.0% 1.87 53.5% +2.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Sunderland

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Man City Away 3-5 L
16 Sep 2026 AZ Alkmaar Home 1-0 W
12 Sep 2026 Arsenal Home 0-2 L
8 Sep 2026 Hull City Home 1-0 W
5 Sep 2026 Brentford Away 1-1 D

Brighton

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Sep 2026 Arsenal Home 3-0 W
16 Sep 2026 Man Utd Away 3-2 W
13 Sep 2026 Coventry City Away 5-0 W
5 Sep 2026 Leeds Home 1-1 D
30 Aug 2026 Chelsea Away 3-4 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Sunderland 10 1.70 1.60
Brighton 10 2.70 1.30

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Sunderland and Brighton in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
14 Mar 2026 Premier League Sunderland vs Brighton 0-1
20 Dec 2025 Premier League Brighton vs Sunderland 0-0