Lazio 3-1 SSD Monza

Finished

For this Serie A match, BetFTW's top pick is Lazio to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 67%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lazio to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 43.8/100
    Odds 1.80 bet-at-home Recorded P/L +35.00
    Best odds 1.80 bet-at-home
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 28.2/100
    Odds 1.85 888sport Recorded P/L +27.22
    Best odds 1.96 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lazio to win 75.0% 1.80 55.6% +19.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 67.0% 1.96 51.0% +16.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Lazio

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Sep 2026 Venezia FC Away 2-0 W
7 Sep 2026 Udinese Away 2-1 W
30 Aug 2026 Genoa Home 1-0 W
24 Aug 2026 Bologna Away 1-0 W
16 Aug 2026 Mantova Home 0-2 L

SSD Monza

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Sep 2026 Sassuolo Home 2-1 W
13 Sep 2026 Lecce Away 2-3 L
6 Sep 2026 Parma Away 1-1 D
1 Sep 2026 Torino Away 1-0 W
29 Aug 2026 Udinese Home 2-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Lazio 10 2.20 0.90
SSD Monza 10 1.70 1.70

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Lazio and SSD Monza in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
9 Feb 2025 Serie A Lazio vs SSD Monza 5-1
10 Nov 2024 Serie A SSD Monza vs Lazio 0-1
4 May 2024 Serie A SSD Monza vs Lazio 2-2
23 Sep 2023 Serie A Lazio vs SSD Monza 1-1
2 Apr 2023 Serie A SSD Monza vs Lazio 0-2