Liverpool 0-3 Man City

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Liverpool to win, with a 40% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 63%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Liverpool to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 14.7/100
    Odds 3.37 1xBet Recorded P/L -14.68
    Best odds 3.37 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    63%
    Stake Low 0.2/100
    Odds 1.62 888sport Recorded P/L +5.10
    Best odds 1.67 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Liverpool to win 40.0% 3.37 29.7% +10.3 pp
Total score over 2.5 63.0% 1.67 59.9% +3.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Liverpool

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Bournemouth Away 1-0 W
15 Sep 2026 Tottenham Home 3-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Fulham Home 0-0 D
9 Sep 2026 Atletico Madrid Home 2-1 W
4 Sep 2026 Ipswich Away 2-0 W

Man City

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Sep 2026 Sunderland Home 5-3 W
17 Sep 2026 Norwich Home 5-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Man Utd Away 1-0 W
8 Sep 2026 Porto Away 2-0 W
5 Sep 2026 Coventry City Home 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Liverpool 10 1.80 1.30
Man City 10 2.40 1.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Liverpool and Man City in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
4 Apr 2026 FA Cup Man City vs Liverpool 4-0
8 Feb 2026 Premier League Liverpool vs Man City 1-2
9 Nov 2025 Premier League Man City vs Liverpool 3-0