Rio Ave 3-2 CD Nacional

Finished

BetFTW predicts Rio Ave to win against CD Nacional, with a 53% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Rio Ave to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    53%
    Stake Low 16.9/100
    Odds 2.30 Betano Recorded P/L +25.08
    Best odds 2.36 TonyBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Rio Ave to win 53.0% 2.36 42.4% +10.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Rio Ave

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Sep 2026 Estrela Amadora Home 3-3 D
6 Sep 2026 Santa Clara Away 0-4 L
28 Aug 2026 Sporting CP Home 0-4 L
15 Aug 2026 Porto Home 0-2 L
9 Aug 2026 Gil Vicente Away 0-1 L

CD Nacional

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Aug 2026 Estrela Amadora Home 2-3 L
23 Aug 2026 Vitoria Guimaraes Away 0-1 L
16 Aug 2026 Estoril Home 2-0 W
10 Aug 2026 Santa Clara Away 2-2 D
22 Jul 2026 CD Leganes Home 0-0 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Rio Ave 10 1.10 2.20
CD Nacional 10 0.60 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Rio Ave and CD Nacional in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
25 Jan 2026 Primeira Liga CD Nacional vs Rio Ave 4-0
17 Aug 2025 Primeira Liga Rio Ave vs CD Nacional 1-1
29 Dec 2024 Primeira Liga Rio Ave vs CD Nacional 2-1
10 Apr 2022 Segunda Liga CD Nacional vs Rio Ave 2-0
28 Nov 2021 Segunda Liga Rio Ave vs CD Nacional 1-0