Benfica 4-1 Celtic

Finished

For this Europa League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 77% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 20%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    77%
    Stake Med 31.0/100
    Odds 1.50 Betano Recorded P/L +15.50
    Best odds 1.50 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    20%
    Stake Low 8.6/100
    Odds 8.00 BetVictor Recorded P/L -8.57
    Best odds 8.00 BetVictor
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 77.0% 1.50 66.7% +10.3 pp
Draw 20.0% 8.00 12.5% +7.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Benfica

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Vitoria Guimaraes Home 2-0 W
20 Sep 2026 Porto Away 1-3 L
16 Sep 2026 AC Milan Away 2-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Gil Vicente Home 3-1 W
9 Sep 2026 Moreirense Away 4-0 W

Celtic

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Motherwell Away 2-0 W
20 Sep 2026 Rangers Home 0-1 L
17 Sep 2026 Ferencvarosi TC Home 1-3 L
13 Sep 2026 Rangers Away 0-3 L
9 Sep 2026 St Johnstone Away 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Benfica 10 2.80 0.80
Celtic 10 1.70 1.30