Freiburg 3-2 Baumit Jablonec

Finished

For this Europa Conference League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 72% estimated probability. We also predict Freiburg to win at 75%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 25.3/100
    Odds 1.60 Betano Recorded P/L +15.20
    Best odds 1.60 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Freiburg to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 1.39 Betano Recorded P/L +4.25
    Best odds 1.39 Betano
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    20%
    Stake Low 7.1/100
    Odds 7.21 1xBet Recorded P/L -7.12
    Best odds 7.21 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 72.0% 1.60 62.5% +9.5 pp
Freiburg to win 75.0% 1.39 71.9% +3.1 pp
Draw 20.0% 7.21 13.9% +6.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Freiburg

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Schalke 04 Home 2-1 W
19 Sep 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt Away 2-2 D
12 Sep 2026 Borussia Monchengladbach Home 5-0 W
5 Sep 2026 SC Paderborn 07 Away 1-0 W
30 Aug 2026 Werder Bremen Home 4-1 W

Baumit Jablonec

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Zbrojovka Brno Away 1-0 W
2 Oct 2026 Dukla Prague Away 1-0 W
20 Sep 2026 Fastav Zlin Home 1-1 D
12 Sep 2026 Sparta Prague Away 0-2 L
9 Sep 2026 Banik Ostrava Home 3-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Freiburg 10 2.80 1.10
Baumit Jablonec 10 1.00 1.00