Lyon 3-2 Crystal Palace

Finished

For this Europa League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 70% estimated probability. We also predict Crystal Palace to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    70%
    Stake Med 27.1/100
    Odds 1.70 888sport Recorded P/L +19.00
    Best odds 1.70 888sport
  2. Pick 2 Crystal Palace to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Med 26.7/100
    Odds 3.15 Betano Recorded P/L -27.53
    Best odds 3.23 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 70.0% 1.70 58.8% +11.2 pp
Crystal Palace to win 50.0% 3.23 31.0% +19.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Lyon

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 Oct 2026 Lens Away 1-2 L
19 Sep 2026 Rennes Home 4-0 W
16 Sep 2026 Anderlecht Away 2-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Paris FC Away 0-0 D
4 Sep 2026 Auxerre Home 3-1 W

Crystal Palace

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Nottingham Forest Home 3-1 W
20 Sep 2026 Leeds Away 0-0 D
17 Sep 2026 Lech Poznan Home 4-0 W
12 Sep 2026 Ipswich Home 2-3 L
8 Sep 2026 Middlesbrough Home 3-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Lyon 10 1.80 0.80
Crystal Palace 10 1.80 1.60