Twente 1-0 FC Thun

Finished

For this Europa Conference League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 80% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 20%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    80%
    Stake Med 26.0/100
    Odds 1.37 Betano Recorded P/L -25.95
    Best odds 1.37 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    20%
    Stake Low 10.4/100
    Odds 9.30 1xBet Recorded P/L -10.36
    Best odds 9.30 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 80.0% 1.37 73.0% +7.0 pp
Draw 20.0% 9.30 10.8% +9.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Twente

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Fortuna Sittard Away 1-1 D
20 Sep 2026 PSV Eindhoven Home 3-2 W
12 Sep 2026 ADO Den Haag Home 2-0 W
9 Sep 2026 SC Telstar Home 1-0 W
6 Sep 2026 Groningen Away 2-2 D

FC Thun

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
16 Sep 2026 Servette Home 2-4 L
2 Sep 2026 Lausanne Sport Home 0-0 D
30 Aug 2026 St Gallen Away 4-3 W
27 Aug 2026 Lech Poznan Home 2-2 D
20 Aug 2026 Lech Poznan Away 0-7 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Twente 10 1.90 1.20
FC Thun 10 1.70 3.20