Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City

Finished

For this Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Middlesbrough to win, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 34%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Middlesbrough to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 26.7/100
    Odds 1.55 1xBet Recorded P/L -29.80
    Best odds 1.59 DraftKings
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    34%
    Stake Low 5.9/100
    Odds 3.35 DraftKings Recorded P/L -5.91
    Best odds 3.35 DraftKings
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Middlesbrough to win 74.0% 1.59 62.9% +11.1 pp
Total score under 2.5 34.0% 3.35 29.9% +4.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Middlesbrough

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Oct 2026 Stoke City Away 3-2 W
10 Oct 2026 Wolves Home 1-0 W
19 Sep 2026 Birmingham Away 2-2 D
15 Sep 2026 Millwall Home 2-2 D
12 Sep 2026 Norwich Home 4-3 W

Cardiff City

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Oct 2026 Watford Home 5-1 W
10 Oct 2026 Blackburn Rovers Away 1-2 L
19 Sep 2026 Charlton Athletic Home 3-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Bolton Wanderers Away 0-1 L
8 Sep 2026 Stoke City Home 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Middlesbrough 10 2.00 1.50
Cardiff City 10 1.60 1.60

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
4 Jan 2025 Championship Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City 1-1
27 Apr 2024 Championship Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough 1-4
3 Oct 2023 Championship Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City 2-0
11 Feb 2023 Championship Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough 1-3
13 Sep 2022 Championship Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City 2-3