Malaga 2-5 Real Sociedad

Finished

For this La Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is Real Sociedad to win, with a 72% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 60%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Real Sociedad to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake High 50.3/100
    Odds 2.29 1xBet Recorded P/L +64.93
    Best odds 2.29 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Low 8.7/100
    Odds 1.78 Betano Recorded P/L +11.51
    Best odds 1.86 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Real Sociedad to win 72.0% 2.29 43.7% +28.3 pp
Total score over 2.5 60.0% 1.86 53.8% +6.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Malaga

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 Oct 2026 Espanyol Home 1-1 D
20 Sep 2026 Getafe Away 0-1 L
17 Sep 2026 Villarreal Home 1-3 L
13 Sep 2026 Celta Vigo Away 1-1 D
6 Sep 2026 Levante Home 0-0 D

Real Sociedad

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 Royal Union Saint-Gilloise Away 1-1 D
11 Oct 2026 Deportivo La Coruna Home 3-2 W
20 Sep 2026 Valencia Away 3-2 W
17 Sep 2026 Bournemouth Home 1-2 L
13 Sep 2026 Atletico Madrid Home 0-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Malaga 10 0.90 1.80
Real Sociedad 10 1.40 1.80

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Malaga and Real Sociedad in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
7 Jan 2024 Copa Del Rey Malaga vs Real Sociedad 0-1