Rayo Vallecano 0-3 Elche

Finished

For this La Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is Rayo Vallecano to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 56%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Rayo Vallecano to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 44.1/100
    Odds 1.81 1xBet Recorded P/L -44.10
    Best odds 1.81 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    56%
    Stake Low 5.8/100
    Odds 1.88 1xBet Recorded P/L +5.13
    Best odds 1.88 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Rayo Vallecano to win 75.0% 1.81 55.2% +19.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 56.0% 1.88 53.2% +2.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Rayo Vallecano

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Oct 2026 Getafe Away 1-1 D
19 Sep 2026 Osasuna Away 1-1 D
15 Sep 2026 Espanyol Home 2-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Real Madrid Away 1-4 L
5 Sep 2026 Racing Santander Home 3-2 W

Elche

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Oct 2026 Villarreal Away 0-0 D
11 Oct 2026 Celta Vigo Home 0-0 D
18 Sep 2026 Espanyol Away 3-1 W
15 Sep 2026 Real Madrid Home 2-3 L
12 Sep 2026 Athletic Bilbao Away 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Rayo Vallecano 10 1.40 2.10
Elche 10 1.30 1.90

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Elche in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 Apr 2026 La Liga Rayo Vallecano vs Elche 1-0
21 Dec 2025 La Liga Elche vs Rayo Vallecano 4-0
29 Apr 2023 La Liga Elche vs Rayo Vallecano 4-0
3 Oct 2022 Primera Division Rayo Vallecano vs Elche 2-1
18 Feb 2022 Primera Division Elche vs Rayo Vallecano 2-1