Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting CP

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is Sporting CP to win, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 47%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sporting CP to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Med 26.2/100
    Odds 2.25 1Bet Recorded P/L +32.75
    Best odds 2.25 1Bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    47%
    Stake Low 3.8/100
    Odds 2.34 1xBet Recorded P/L +9.78
    Best odds 2.34 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Sporting CP to win 59.0% 2.25 44.4% +14.6 pp
Total score under 2.5 47.0% 2.34 42.7% +4.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Shakhtar Donetsk

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Oct 2026 Dynamo Kiev Home 3-0 W
21 Oct 2026 Inter Milan Away 0-1 L
14 Oct 2026 AEK Athens Home 3-1 W
9 Oct 2026 Veres Rivne Away 3-0 W
14 Sep 2026 Chernomorets Odessa Home 2-0 W

Sporting CP

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2026 Casa Pia AC Away 2-0 W
27 Oct 2026 Maritimo Home 2-1 W
25 Oct 2026 Academico de Viseu Home 1-2 L
21 Oct 2026 LASK Linz Home 2-3 L
13 Oct 2026 Lens Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Shakhtar Donetsk 10 1.80 0.50
Sporting CP 10 2.30 1.10