Porto Napoli

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is Napoli to win, with a 36% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 52%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Napoli to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    36%
    Stake Low 14.1/100
    Odds 3.93 1xBet
    Best odds 3.93 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 2.17 1xBet
    Best odds 2.17 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Napoli to win 36.0% 3.93 25.4% +10.6 pp
Total score under 2.5 52.0% 2.17 46.1% +5.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Porto

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Oct 2026 Academico de Viseu Home 1-0 W
20 Oct 2026 PSV Eindhoven Home 0-1 L
14 Oct 2026 Real Betis Away 2-3 L
10 Oct 2026 Maritimo Away 2-1 W
2 Oct 2026 Deportivo La Coruna Away 3-1 W

Napoli

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Juventus Away 0-2 L
28 Oct 2026 SSD Monza Away 4-1 W
20 Oct 2026 Bodo/Glimt Home 4-3 W
17 Oct 2026 Venezia FC Away 0-1 L
13 Oct 2026 Villarreal Away 1-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Porto 10 1.70 1.00
Napoli 10 1.60 1.70