RB Leipzig Man City

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 28% estimated probability. We also predict RB Leipzig to win at 25%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 10.1/100
    Odds 5.03 1xBet
    Best odds 5.03 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 RB Leipzig to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    25%
    Stake Low 8.8/100
    Odds 5.63 1xBet
    Best odds 5.63 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 28.0% 5.03 19.9% +8.1 pp
RB Leipzig to win 25.0% 5.63 17.8% +7.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

RB Leipzig

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Schalke 04 Away 2-0 W
27 Oct 2026 Rot Weiss Essen Away 2-1 W
24 Oct 2026 SV Elversberg Home 4-0 W
21 Oct 2026 Real Madrid Away 1-4 L
17 Oct 2026 Bayern Munich Away 1-6 L

Man City

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Brighton Home 0-1 L
28 Oct 2026 Brighton Home 2-2 D
24 Oct 2026 Aston Villa Away 1-2 L
20 Oct 2026 AEK Athens Home 5-1 W
17 Oct 2026 Ipswich Home 3-2 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
RB Leipzig 10 2.30 1.70
Man City 10 2.70 1.50