Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki

Finished

For this J1 League match, BetFTW's top pick is Avispa Fukuoka to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 45%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Avispa Fukuoka to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake High 51.4/100
    Odds 2.06 Goldenbet Recorded P/L -51.42
    Best odds 2.06 Goldenbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    45%
    Stake Low 6.4/100
    Odds 2.43 Megapari Recorded P/L -6.40
    Best odds 2.43 Megapari
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Avispa Fukuoka to win 75.0% 2.06 48.5% +26.5 pp
Total score over 2.5 45.0% 2.43 41.2% +3.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Avispa Fukuoka

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 JEF United Chiba Away 0-3 L
24 Oct 2026 Tokyo Verdy Away 1-3 L
21 Oct 2026 Gamba Osaka Home 1-2 L
18 Oct 2026 Machida Zelvia Away 0-3 L
14 Oct 2026 Sagan Tosu Away 1-2 L

V-Varen Nagasaki

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Tokyo Verdy Home 1-2 L
25 Oct 2026 Urawa Red Diamonds Away 0-1 L
21 Oct 2026 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Home 4-0 W
17 Oct 2026 Kashima Antlers Away 0-2 L
11 Oct 2026 JEF United Chiba Away 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Avispa Fukuoka 10 0.60 1.80
V-Varen Nagasaki 10 1.20 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Avispa Fukuoka and V-Varen Nagasaki in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
11 Apr 2026 J1 League Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0
15 Mar 2026 J1 League V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-0
15 Mar 2026 100 Year Vision League V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-0
13 Jul 2022 Emperor Cup Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0