Chesterfield 4-3 Yeovil Town

Finished

For this FA Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is Chesterfield to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 45%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Chesterfield to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 26.3/100
    Odds 1.51 DraftKings Recorded P/L +14.00
    Best odds 1.52 20Bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    45%
    Stake Low 9.5/100
    Odds 2.55 20Bet Recorded P/L -11.15
    Best odds 2.63 bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Chesterfield to win 75.0% 1.52 65.8% +9.2 pp
Total score under 2.5 45.0% 2.63 38.0% +7.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Chesterfield

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2026 Newport County Away 1-4 L
24 Oct 2026 Crewe Alexandra Home 5-1 W
17 Oct 2026 Port Vale Away 0-1 L
10 Oct 2026 Crawley Town Away 2-2 D
3 Oct 2026 Tranmere Rovers Home 4-2 W

Yeovil Town

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Halifax Town Away 0-2 L
27 Oct 2026 AFC Hornchurch Away 2-1 W
24 Oct 2026 Altrincham Home 1-2 L
17 Oct 2026 Leatherhead Away 3-3 D
10 Oct 2026 Wealdstone Away 6-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Chesterfield 10 2.10 1.70
Yeovil Town 10 2.50 1.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Chesterfield and Yeovil Town in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
11 Mar 2023 National League Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town 1-1
17 Sep 2022 National League Yeovil Town vs Chesterfield 2-2
26 Feb 2022 National League Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town 1-0
18 Sep 2021 National League Yeovil Town vs Chesterfield 0-2
6 Mar 2021 National League Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town 3-0