Port Vale 4-2 Scunthorpe

Finished

For this FA Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is Port Vale to win, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 49%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Port Vale to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 29.8/100
    Odds 1.59 DraftKings Recorded P/L +18.40
    Best odds 1.60 Interwetten
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    49%
    Stake Low 4.7/100
    Odds 2.20 10bet Recorded P/L -6.50
    Best odds 2.20 bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Port Vale to win 74.0% 1.60 62.5% +11.5 pp
Total score under 2.5 49.0% 2.20 45.5% +3.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Port Vale

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Oct 2026 York City Away 0-2 L
17 Oct 2026 Chesterfield Home 1-0 W
10 Oct 2026 Grimsby Town Home 1-0 W
6 Oct 2026 Mansfield Town Home 2-0 W
22 Sep 2026 Chesterfield Away 1-1 D

Scunthorpe

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Boston United Away 1-2 L
27 Oct 2026 Tamworth Away 1-4 L
24 Oct 2026 Woking Home 2-3 L
17 Oct 2026 Boston United Away 3-1 W
10 Oct 2026 AFC Fylde Away 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Port Vale 10 0.70 0.90
Scunthorpe 10 1.40 1.90

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Port Vale and Scunthorpe in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
29 Jan 2022 League Two Port Vale vs Scunthorpe 1-0
25 Sep 2021 League Two Scunthorpe vs Port Vale 0-1
26 Jan 2021 League Two Scunthorpe vs Port Vale 2-0
17 Nov 2020 League Two Port Vale vs Scunthorpe 0-1