England 2-1 Croatia

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for England vs Croatia, with a 77% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    77%
    Stake Med 29.1/100
    Odds 1.48 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +15.50
    Best odds 1.50 10bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 77.0% 1.50 66.7% +10.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

England

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Oct 2026 Czech Republic Home 3-0 W
3 Oct 2026 Croatia Away 7-0 W
29 Sep 2026 Czech Republic Away 2-0 W
26 Sep 2026 Spain Home 2-3 L
18 Jul 2026 France Away 6-4 W

Croatia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Oct 2026 Spain Home 1-2 L
3 Oct 2026 England Home 0-7 L
29 Sep 2026 Spain Away 1-4 L
26 Sep 2026 Czech Republic Away 2-1 W
27 Jun 2026 Ghana Home 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
England 10 3.00 1.30
Croatia 10 1.60 2.60

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between England and Croatia in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 Oct 2026 UEFA Nations League Croatia vs England 0-7
17 Jun 2026 World Cup England vs Croatia 4-2
13 Jun 2021 Euro England vs Croatia 1-0