Bakersfield Condors 7-2 Tucson Roadrunners

Finished

For this AHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Bakersfield Condors to win, with a 47% estimated probability. We also predict over 5.5 goals at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Bakersfield Condors to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    47%
    Stake Low 6.2/100
    Odds 2.30 Fezbet Recorded P/L +9.51
    Best odds 2.33 Parimatch
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 5.6/100
    Odds 1.95 STS Recorded P/L +5.84
    Best odds 1.96 STS
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Bakersfield Condors to win 47.0% 2.33 42.9% +4.1 pp
Total score over 5.5 54.0% 1.96 51.0% +3.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Bakersfield Condors

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Feb 2024 Tucson Roadrunners Away 3-2 W
24 Feb 2024 Tucson Roadrunners Away 3-2 W
21 Feb 2024 San Diego Gulls Home 4-3 W
19 Feb 2024 Colorado Eagles Home 2-5 L
18 Feb 2024 San Jose Barracuda Home 3-7 L

Tucson Roadrunners

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Feb 2024 Bakersfield Condors Home 2-3 L
24 Feb 2024 Bakersfield Condors Home 2-3 L
18 Feb 2024 Ontario Reign Home 3-2 W
17 Feb 2024 Ontario Reign Home 1-8 L
11 Feb 2024 Iowa Wild Away 4-5 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Bakersfield Condors 10 2.50 2.90
Tucson Roadrunners 10 2.40 3.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Bakersfield Condors and Tucson Roadrunners in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
25 Feb 2024 AHL Tucson Roadrunners vs Bakersfield Condors 2-3
24 Feb 2024 AHL Tucson Roadrunners vs Bakersfield Condors 2-3
1 Feb 2024 AHL Bakersfield Condors vs Tucson Roadrunners 2-3
23 Dec 2023 AHL Bakersfield Condors vs Tucson Roadrunners 3-4
29 Oct 2023 AHL Tucson Roadrunners vs Bakersfield Condors 1-5