Toronto Marlies 7-3 Rochester Americans

Finished

For this AHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Toronto Marlies to win, with a 50% estimated probability. We also predict over 5.5 goals at 62%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Toronto Marlies to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 11.5/100
    Odds 2.30 Fezbet Recorded P/L +15.50
    Best odds 2.31 Parimatch
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Low 8.8/100
    Odds 1.71 Betway Recorded P/L +6.23
    Best odds 1.71 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Toronto Marlies to win 50.0% 2.31 43.3% +6.7 pp
Total score over 5.5 62.0% 1.71 58.5% +3.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Toronto Marlies

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Mar 2024 Springfield Thunderbirds Away 1-5 L
9 Mar 2024 Utica Comets Away 7-6 W
6 Mar 2024 Belleville Senators Home 3-2 W
2 Mar 2024 Syracuse Crunch Home 2-4 L
2 Mar 2024 Syracuse Crunch Away 2-3 L

Rochester Americans

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Mar 2024 Syracuse Crunch Away 3-2 W
10 Mar 2024 Syracuse Crunch Away 2-4 L
9 Mar 2024 Syracuse Crunch Home 4-3 W
2 Mar 2024 Belleville Senators Away 4-1 W
29 Feb 2024 Syracuse Crunch Home 2-5 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Toronto Marlies 10 2.70 3.90
Rochester Americans 10 2.30 3.10

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Toronto Marlies and Rochester Americans in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
19 Feb 2024 AHL Toronto Marlies vs Rochester Americans 1-2
14 Oct 2023 AHL Toronto Marlies vs Rochester Americans 4-5
13 May 2023 AHL Toronto Marlies vs Rochester Americans 4-7
12 Mar 2023 AHL Rochester Americans vs Toronto Marlies 3-6
18 Feb 2023 AHL Rochester Americans vs Toronto Marlies 6-2