VMF-Karelia 0-1 AKM

Finished

For this VHL match, BetFTW's top pick is AKM to win, with a 55% estimated probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 67%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 AKM to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 23.3/100
    Odds 2.42 Betwinner Recorded P/L +33.10
    Best odds 2.42 Betwinner
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Low 17.5/100
    Odds 1.67 Betwinner Recorded P/L +11.69
    Best odds 1.67 Betwinner
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 7.1/100
    Odds 4.05 Betwinner Recorded P/L -7.05
    Best odds 4.05 Betwinner
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
AKM to win 55.0% 2.42 41.3% +13.7 pp
Total score under 5.5 67.0% 1.67 59.9% +7.1 pp
Draw 30.0% 4.05 24.7% +5.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

VMF-Karelia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Mar 2024 AKM Home 2-4 L
12 Mar 2024 AKM Away 2-6 L
11 Mar 2024 AKM Away 3-4 L
7 Mar 2024 Yuzhny Ural Orsk Home 4-1 W
4 Mar 2024 Yuzhny Ural Orsk Away 1-3 L

AKM

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Mar 2024 VMF-Karelia Away 4-2 W
12 Mar 2024 VMF-Karelia Home 6-2 W
11 Mar 2024 VMF-Karelia Home 4-3 W
2 Mar 2024 Toros Neftekamsk Home 6-3 W
28 Feb 2024 Toros Neftekamsk Away 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
VMF-Karelia 10 2.80 2.60
AKM 10 3.50 2.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between VMF-Karelia and AKM in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
15 Mar 2024 VHL VMF-Karelia vs AKM 2-4
12 Mar 2024 VHL AKM vs VMF-Karelia 6-2
11 Mar 2024 VHL AKM vs VMF-Karelia 4-3
16 Feb 2024 VHL AKM vs VMF-Karelia 1-4
9 Sep 2023 VHL VMF-Karelia vs AKM 2-4