SaiPa 5-2 Ilves Tampere

Finished

For this Liiga match, BetFTW's top pick is under 5.5 goals, with a 58% estimated probability. We also predict Ilves Tampere to win at 40%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 14.7/100
    Odds 1.97 Unibet Recorded P/L -14.70
    Best odds 1.97 Unibet
  2. Pick 2 Ilves Tampere to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 7.6/100
    Odds 2.85 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -7.57
    Best odds 2.85 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 5.5 58.0% 1.97 50.8% +7.2 pp
Ilves Tampere to win 40.0% 2.85 35.1% +4.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

SaiPa

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Oct 2025 Tappara Away 0-5 L
25 Oct 2025 HIFK Home 3-0 W
21 Oct 2025 Assat Pori Away 2-2 D
18 Oct 2025 Lukko Rauma Away 2-4 L
17 Oct 2025 JYP Jyvaskyla Home 1-1 D

Ilves Tampere

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Oct 2025 Kiekko-Espoo Home 5-7 L
25 Oct 2025 Jukurit Mikkeli Home 3-2 W
24 Oct 2025 Tappara Away 3-1 W
18 Oct 2025 TPS Turku Away 3-3 D
17 Oct 2025 TPS Turku Home 3-3 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
SaiPa 10 2.50 2.30
Ilves Tampere 10 3.00 2.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between SaiPa and Ilves Tampere in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 Mar 2025 Liiga SaiPa vs Ilves Tampere 3-6
9 Dec 2024 Liiga Ilves Tampere vs SaiPa 2-1
23 Feb 2024 Liiga Ilves Tampere vs SaiPa 5-2
28 Dec 2023 Liiga SaiPa vs Ilves Tampere 0-3
18 Nov 2023 Liiga Ilves Tampere vs SaiPa 5-2