Perth Thunder 3-4 Melbourne Mustangs

Finished

BetFTW predicts a draw between Perth Thunder and Melbourne Mustangs, with a 26% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    26%
    Stake Low 10.4/100
    Odds 5.75 Bwin Recorded P/L -10.42
    Best odds 5.75 Bwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 26.0% 5.75 17.4% +8.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Perth Thunder

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Aug 2026 Newcastle North Stars Away 3-4 L
25 Jul 2026 Newcastle North Stars Home 3-8 L
12 Jul 2026 Melbourne Ice Home 2-6 L
11 Jul 2026 Melbourne Ice Home 3-3 D
5 Jul 2026 Brisbane Lightning Away 3-1 W

Melbourne Mustangs

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Jul 2026 Brisbane Lightning Home 8-3 W
17 Jul 2026 Melbourne Ice Home 6-2 W
12 Jul 2026 Adelaide Adrenaline Away 9-1 W
11 Jul 2026 Adelaide Adrenaline Away 7-1 W
5 Jul 2026 Sydney Ice Dogs Away 8-3 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Perth Thunder 10 4.10 4.10
Melbourne Mustangs 10 6.40 4.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Perth Thunder and Melbourne Mustangs in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
29 Aug 2025 AIHL Perth Thunder vs Melbourne Mustangs 5-2
23 Aug 2025 AIHL Perth Thunder vs Melbourne Mustangs 13-4
15 Jun 2025 AIHL Melbourne Mustangs vs Perth Thunder 4-3
25 May 2025 AIHL Melbourne Mustangs vs Perth Thunder 0-8
28 Jul 2024 AIHL Melbourne Mustangs vs Perth Thunder 5-4