HC Ajoie 5-4 HC Lugano

Finished

For this NLA match, BetFTW's top pick is HC Lugano to win, with a 58% estimated probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 56%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 HC Lugano to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 16.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -19.82
    Best odds 2.10 bet365
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    56%
    Stake Low 14.1/100
    Odds 2.05 Fezbet Recorded P/L -16.00
    Best odds 2.10 Bwin
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 8.8/100
    Odds 4.75 bet365 Recorded P/L -8.80
    Best odds 4.75 bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
HC Lugano to win 58.0% 2.10 47.6% +10.4 pp
Total score under 5.5 56.0% 2.10 47.6% +8.4 pp
Draw 28.0% 4.75 21.1% +6.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

HC Ajoie

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Oct 2026 HC Davos Away 1-3 L
29 Sep 2026 Lausanne HC Home 3-0 W
25 Sep 2026 SC Bern Away 2-2 D
18 Sep 2026 Geneve Servette HC Away 3-3 D
15 Sep 2026 HC Ambri Piotta Home 2-2 D

HC Lugano

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Oct 2026 Rapperswil Jona Lakers Home 5-2 W
29 Sep 2026 SCL Tigers Away 3-4 L
18 Sep 2026 EHC Kloten Flyers Away 2-5 L
15 Sep 2026 Geneve Servette HC Home 6-3 W
27 Mar 2026 ZSC Lions Home 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
HC Ajoie 10 2.00 2.90
HC Lugano 10 2.60 3.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between HC Ajoie and HC Lugano in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
27 Feb 2026 NLA HC Ajoie vs HC Lugano 0-1
22 Dec 2025 NLA HC Lugano vs HC Ajoie 6-1
19 Sep 2025 NLA HC Lugano vs HC Ajoie 2-0
25 Mar 2025 NLA HC Ajoie vs HC Lugano 1-2
23 Mar 2025 NLA HC Lugano vs HC Ajoie 3-0