SaiPa 3-6 Plzen

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is Plzen to win, with a 46% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 30%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Plzen to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Med 29.1/100
    Odds 4.20 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +93.22
    Best odds 4.20 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 4.75 Fezbet Recorded P/L -11.33
    Best odds 4.75 Fezbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 4.3/100
    Odds 1.75 10bet Recorded P/L -15.84
    Best odds 1.95 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Plzen to win 46.0% 4.20 23.8% +22.2 pp
Draw 30.0% 4.75 21.1% +8.9 pp
Total score under 5.5 59.0% 1.95 51.3% +7.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

SaiPa

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Oct 2026 JYP Jyvaskyla Home 1-2 L
2 Oct 2026 KalPa Away 3-4 L
30 Sep 2026 Oulun Karpat Away 1-4 L
26 Sep 2026 Tappara Away 4-2 W
25 Sep 2026 Assat Pori Away 5-0 W

Plzen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Kometa Brno Away 1-1 D
8 Oct 2026 Motor Ceske Budejovice Home 4-1 W
4 Oct 2026 Karlovy Vary Away 1-4 L
2 Oct 2026 Pardubice Away 2-4 L
29 Sep 2026 Mlada Boleslav Away 4-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
SaiPa 10 2.10 2.30
Plzen 10 2.20 1.90