HPK Hameenlinna 3-1 Ilves Tampere

Finished

For this Liiga match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 30% estimated probability. We also predict Ilves Tampere to win at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 4.50 bet365 Recorded P/L -10.00
    Best odds 4.50 bet365
  2. Pick 2 Ilves Tampere to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 6.4/100
    Odds 1.85 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -11.83
    Best odds 1.95 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 30.0% 4.50 22.2% +7.8 pp
Ilves Tampere to win 57.0% 1.95 51.3% +5.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

HPK Hameenlinna

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 SaiPa Away 1-2 L
10 Oct 2026 KooKoo Kouvola Home 5-3 W
9 Oct 2026 Assat Pori Away 2-2 D
2 Oct 2026 JYP Jyvaskyla Home 2-1 W
29 Sep 2026 Jokerit Helsinki Away 0-3 L

Ilves Tampere

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Jokerit Helsinki Away 3-0 W
9 Oct 2026 Lukko Rauma Home 1-5 L
29 Sep 2026 Jukurit Mikkeli Home 3-2 W
27 Sep 2026 TPS Turku Home 3-2 W
25 Sep 2026 KooKoo Kouvola Home 6-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
HPK Hameenlinna 10 1.80 3.10
Ilves Tampere 10 2.80 1.80

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between HPK Hameenlinna and Ilves Tampere in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
8 Sep 2026 Liiga HPK Hameenlinna vs Ilves Tampere 0-4
10 Mar 2026 Liiga Ilves Tampere vs HPK Hameenlinna 3-1
26 Dec 2025 Liiga HPK Hameenlinna vs Ilves Tampere 3-8
4 Dec 2025 Liiga Ilves Tampere vs HPK Hameenlinna 3-2
15 Nov 2025 Liiga HPK Hameenlinna vs Ilves Tampere 2-2